NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: UC Davis

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#176 UC Davis

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

UC Davis is facing a challenging path toward an NCAA Tournament bid, especially given their less-than-impressive overall record and performances against key opponents. Their losses to Washington and Stanford highlight struggles against higher-tier competition, while a notable defeat against Norfolk State raises concerns about their offensive consistency. Though they secured wins against teams like UC Santa Barbara and Cal Poly, they will need to dominate their remaining schedule, particularly against teams like Hawaii and UC Riverside, to solidify their standing. The upcoming games against Pepperdine and CS Bakersfield will be critical, as victories there can boost their confidence and résumé heading into conference play. Ultimately, their best shot at the tournament is through an automatic qualification, as their current résumé lacks the heft needed for at-large consideration.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/5	@Washington	97	L79-73
11/7	@Idaho	278	W79-75
11/17	@Stanford	85	L79-65
11/20	@Grand Canyon	118	W75-68
11/25	Norfolk St	147	L76-55
11/30	@Oregon St	33	L90-57
12/5	Cal Poly	192	W77-66
12/7	UC Santa Barbara	130	W71-60
12/14	@CS Sacramento	337	W69-62
12/18	Idaho	278	W74-66
12/21	@Pepperdine	249	51%
1/2	@CS Bakersfield	181	46%
1/4	@CS Northridge	111	42%
1/9	CS Fullerton	286	61%
1/11	Long Beach St	292	61%
1/16	@Cal Poly	192	47%
1/18	@UC Santa Barbara	130	43%
1/23	Hawaii	187	55%
1/30	@UC Riverside	162	46%
2/1	@UC Irvine	42	33%
2/6	@Long Beach St	292	53%
2/8	@CS Fullerton	286	53%
2/13	UC Riverside	162	54%
2/15	@UC San Diego	64	35%
2/20	CS Bakersfield	181	54%
2/22	CS Northridge	111	50%
3/2	@Hawaii	187	47%
3/6	UC Irvine	42	40%
3/8	UC San Diego	64	43%